Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world

Abstract

Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support.

Publication DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4
Divisions: College of Health & Life Sciences > School of Psychology
College of Health & Life Sciences > Aston Institute of Health & Neurodevelopment (AIHN)
Aston University (General)
Funding Information: Open access funding provided by Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich.
Additional Information: This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Publication ISSN: 1758-6798
Last Modified: 11 Aug 2025 07:56
Date Deposited: 08 Aug 2025 12:41
Full Text Link:
Related URLs: https://www.nat ... 558-025-02372-4 (Publisher URL)
PURE Output Type: Article
Published Date: 2025-07-01
Published Online Date: 2025-07-01
Accepted Date: 2025-06-04
Authors: Cologna, Viktoria
Meiler, Simona
Kropf, Chahan M.
Lüthi, Samuel
Mede, Niels G.
Bresch, David N.
Lecuona, Oscar
Berger, Sebastian
Besley, John
Brick, Cameron
Joubert, Marina
Maibach, Edward W.
Mihelj, Sabina
Oreskes, Naomi
Schäfer, Mike S.
Linden, Sander van der
Aziz, Nor Izzatina Abdul
Abdulsalam, Suleiman
Shamsi, Nurulaini Abu
Aczel, Balazs
Adinugroho, Indro
Alabrese, Eleonora
Aldoh, Alaa
Alfano, Mark
Ali, Innocent Mbulli
Alsobay, Mohammed
Alvarez, R. Michael
Amollo, Tabitha
Ansah, Patrick
Apriliawati, Denisa
Azevedo, Flavio
Bajrami, Ani
Bardhan, Ronita
Bati, Keagile
Bertsou, Eri
Bhui, Rahul
Białobrzeska, Olga
Bilewicz, Michal
Bouguettaya, Ayoub
Breeden, Katherine
Bret, Amélie
Buchel, Ondrej
Alvarez, Pablo Cabrera
Cagnoli, Federica
Valdez, André Calero
Callaghan, Timothy
Cases, Rizza Kaye
Çoksan, Sami
Czarnek, Gabriela
Debnath, Ramit
Delouvée, Sylvain
Di Stefano, Lucia
Diaz-Catalàn, Celia
Doell, Kimberly C.
Dohle, Simone
Douglas, Karen M.
Dries, Charlotte
Dubrov, Dmitrii
Dzimińska, Malgorzata
Ecker, Ullrich K. H.
Elbaek, Christian T.
Elsherif, Mahmoud
Enke, Benjamin
Facciani, Matthew
Fage-Butler, Antoinette
Faisal, Zaki
Fan, Xiaoli
Farhart, Christina
Feldhaus, Christoph
Ferreira, Marinus
Feuerriegel, Stefan
Fischer, Helen
Freundt, Jana
Friese, Malte
Gallyamova, Albina
Garrido-Vásquez, Patricia
Garrido Vásquez, Mauricio E.
Genschow, Olivier
Ghasemi, Omid
Gkinopoulos, Theofilos
Gloor, Jamie L.
Goddard, Ellen
Brambila, Claudia González
Gordon, Hazel
Grigoryev, Dmitry
Guenther, Lars
Haarstad, Håvard
Harari, Dana
Hensel, Przemysław
Hernández-Mondragón, Alma Cristal
Herziger, Atar
Huang, Guanxiong
Huff, Markus
Hurley, Mairéad
Ibadildin, Nygmet
Islam, Mohammad Tarikul
Jin, Tao
Jones, Charlotte A.
Jungkunz, Sebastian
Jurgiel, Dominika
Kavassalis, Sarah
Kerr, John R.
Kitsa, Mariana
Rábová, Tereza Klabíková
Klein, Olivier
Koh, Hoyoun
Koivula, Aki
Kojan, Lilian
Komyaginskaya, Elizaveta
König, Laura M.
Koppel, Lina
Koren, Kochav
Kosachenko, Alexandra
Kotcher, John
Kranz, Laura S.
Krishnan, Pradeep
Kristiansen, Silje
Krouwel, André
Kuppens, Toon
Lamm, Claus
Lantian, Anthony
Lazić, Aleksandra
Légal, Jean-Baptiste
Leviston, Zoe
Levy, Neil
Lindkvist, Amanda M.
Lits, Grégoire
Löschel, Andreas
Ortega, Alberto López
Lopez-Villavicencio, Carlos
Lou, Nigel Mantou
Lucas, Chloe H.
Lunz-Trujillo, Kristin
Marques, Mathew D.
Mayer, Sabrina J.
McKay, Ryan
Milfont, Taciano L.
Miller, Joanne M.
Mitkidis, Panagiotis
Monge-Rodríguez, Fredy
Motta, Matt
Muršič, Zarja
Namutebi, Jennifer
Newman, Eryn J.
Nitschke, Jonas P.
Ntui, Ntui-Njock Vincent
Nwogwugwu, Daniel
Ostermann, Thomas
Otterbring, Tobias
Pantazi, Myrto
Pärnamets, Philip
Saiani, Paolo Parra
Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola
Parzuchowski, Michal
Pavlov, Yuri G.
Pearson, Adam R.
Pennington, Charlotte R. (ORCID Profile 0000-0002-5259-642X)
Petkanopoulou, Katerina
Petrović, Marija B.
Pisareva, Dinara
Ploszaj, Adam
Pronizius, Ekaterina
Pštross, Karolína
Pypno-Blajda, Katarzyna
Quiñones, Diwa Malaya A.
Räsänen, Pekka
Rauchfleisch, Adrian
Rebitschek, Felix G.
Rêgo, Gabriel
Reynolds, James P. (ORCID Profile 0000-0003-1536-1557)
Roche, Joseph
Röer, Jan Philipp
Ross, Robert M.
Ruin, Isabelle
Santos, Osvaldo
Santos, Ricardo R.
Schulreich, Stefan
Shuckburgh, Emily
Six, Johan
Solak, Nevin
Späth, Leonhard
Spruyt, Bram
Stanley, Samantha K.
Strahm, Noel
Syropoulos, Stylianos
Szaszi, Barnabas
Szumowska, Ewa
Tanaka, Mikihito
Teran-Escobar, Claudia
Todorova, Boryana
Toko, Abdoul Kafid
Tokrri, Renata
Toribio-Florez, Daniel
Tsakiris, Manos
Tyrala, Michael
Uluğ, Özden Melis
Uzoma, Ijeoma Chinwe
Noord, Jochem van
Vilares, Iris
Vlasceanu, Madalina
Bubnoff, Andreas von
Warwas, Izabela
Weninger, Tim
Westfal, Mareike
Wojcik, Adrian Dominik
Xia, Ziqian
Xie, Jinliang
Zegler-Poleska, Ewa
Zenklusen, Amber

Download

[img]

Version: Published Version

License: Creative Commons Attribution


Export / Share Citation


Statistics

Additional statistics for this record