Credit Risk Evaluation on Technological SMEs in China

Abstract

China’s reform and opening-up policies have prioritized technological advancement, with technological SMEs driving employment and economic growth. Despite their significance, these SMEs face substantial financing and operational risks due to inadequate credit measurement tools. This study reviews the historical financing challenges of technological SMEs since the 1980s, summarizes their current credit risk status, and compares four modern credit risk models: Credit Metrics, Credit Risk+, Credit Portfolio View, and KMV. We propose a pioneering KMV Strategy for real-time risk analysis, contributing to accurate credit metrics for these SMEs. Finally, we suggest policies for managing their credit risks through prevention, control, and governance.