A Hybrid Neural Network-Based Improved PSO Algorithm for Gas Turbine Emissions Prediction

Abstract

In gas-fired power plants, emissions may reduce turbine blade rotation, thus decreasing power output. This study proposes a hybrid model integrating the Feed forward Neural Network (FFNN) model and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to predict gas emissions from natural gas power plants. The FFNN predicts gas turbine nitrogen oxides (NOx) and carbon monoxide (CO) emissions, while the PSO optimizes FFNN weights, improving prediction accuracy. The PSO adopts a unique random number selection strategy, incorporating the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm to reduce prediction errors. Neighbor Component Analysis (NCA) selects parameters most correlated with CO and NOx emissions. The hybrid model is constructed, trained, and testedusing publicly available datasets, evaluating performance with statistical metrics like Mean Square Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Results show significant improvement in FFNN training with the PSO algorithm, boosting CO and NOx prediction accuracy by 99.18% and 82.11%, respectively. The model achieves the lowest MSE, MAE, and RMSE values for CO and NOx emissions. Overall, the hybrid model achieves high prediction accuracy, particularly with optimized PSO parameter selection using seed random generators.