Project time risk analysis through simulation

Dey, Prasanta K. and Ogunlana, Stephen O. (2001). Project time risk analysis through simulation. Cost Engineering, 43 (7), pp. 24-32.


An inherent weakness in the management of large scale projects is the failure to achieve the scheduled completion date. When projects are planned with the objective of time achievement, the initial planning plays a vital role in the successful achievement of project deadlines. Cost and quality are additional priorities when such projects are being executed. This article proposes a methodology for achieving time duration of a project through risk analysis with the application of a Monte Carlo simulation technique. The methodology is demonstrated using a case application of a cross-country petroleum pipeline construction project.

Divisions: Aston Business School > Operations & information management research group
Aston Business School > Operations & information management
Uncontrolled Keywords: management,large scale,projects,failure,scheduled completion date,time achievement,project deadlines,cost,quality,risk analysis,Monte Carlo simulation technique,cross-country petroleum pipeline construction project
Published Date: 2001-07


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